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Re: U.S. Commerce Dep Secretary Announced $2.5M to University ofMichigan to Develop Forecasting for
Yes, that is the point of the study. While there are other efforts,
like the IFYLE program, collecting valuable information, this new effort
focuses on integrating those results, as well as the rich historical
information on Lake Erie and it's watershed to sort through the various
causes and consequences of Lake Erie hypoxia. The evolving web site for
this new study funded by NOAA's Center for Sponsored Coastal Ocean
Science is: http://sitemaker.umich.edu/ecoforelake.erie/home
Jeff Herter wrote:
Seems to me that abeeton has a point: there may not be any consequences
beyond the normal operation of the lake system...but I suppose that
could be a conclusion after the study is completed...
Stephen Brandt <Stephen.B.Brandt@noaa.gov> 10/31/2006 10:53:17 AM
This is all part of the continuing International Field Years for Lake
Erie program and a number of GLERL scientists and other academic and
private institutions are involved.. The work is designed to evaluate
the
causes and consequences of hypoxia in Lake Erie.
abeeton wrote:
This is interesting, but I have reservations about any remedial
measures, since a number of scientists think that the low dissolved
oxygen zones(s) have been a natural feature of Lake Erie. The studies
done in 1929 found anoxia in the central basin and a synoptic survey
I
helped organize in 1960 showed every low DO in about 4000 sq miles.
Anoxia persisted repeatedly over many years and has been detected
whenever the central basin is well stratified.
----- Original Message ----- From: "Christine Manninen"
<manninen@glc.org>
To: <glos-rig@great-lakes.net>
Sent: Monday, October 30, 2006 2:25 PM
Subject: U.S. Commerce Dep Secretary Announced $2.5M to University of
Michigan to Develop Forecasting for Dead Zones in Lake Erie
U.S. COMMERCE DEPUTY SECRETARY ANNOUNCED $2.5 MILLION TO UNIVERSITY
OF
MICHIGAN TO DEVELOP FORECASTING FOR DEAD ZONES IN LAKE ERIE
U.S. Commerce Deputy Secretary David A. Sampson today in Detroit
announced NOAA has awarded $506,190 as the first installment in a
five-year $2.5 million grant to the University of Michigan. The
grant
will be used to forecast the formation of hypoxia, or low-oxygen
conditions known as dead zones in Lake Erie, and its influence on
lake
ecology and fish production potential.
"This investment reinforces President Bush's commitment to the
Great
Lakes," said Sampson. "By investing in cooperative projects like
this,
we can maximize our understanding of this vital ecosystem and
improve
our conservation of it."
Scientists at the University of Michigan and the Cooperative
Institute
for Limnology and Ecosystems Research (CILER) are working to develop
a
set of state-of-the-art models to understand a complex array of
potential causes including nutrient pollution, invasive species,
and
climate change, and provide management alternatives to alleviate
this
serious threat to living resources in Lake Erie. This approach aims
to
improve the reliability of forecasts by integrating output from
different models, each with different strengths and weaknesses.
Input and feedback from the management community is critical to the
success of this project and key representatives of relevant
agencies
have been included in the development of this project. Ultimately, a
set
of management and policy options will be produced along with
uncertainty
assessments and technical guidance for implementation of a given
course
of action.
The Great Lakes are a major resource to North America, containing
18
percent of the world's surface freshwater and 90 percent of the
United
States' surface freshwater. They serve as the focus for a
multi-billion
dollar tourist and recreation industry, supply 40 million people
with
drinking water, provide habitat for wildlife and fish, and support
transportation and diverse agricultural production.
"This award is an example of how NOAA is expanding the development
of
ecological forecasting," said retired Navy Vice Adm. Conrad C.
Lautenbacher, Ph.D., under secretary of commerce for oceans and
atmosphere and NOAA administrator. "NOAA has long been a leader in
the
forecasting of weather, climate, and fish stocks. Ecological
forecasting
is a tool that synthesizes complex scientific information in a way
that
can support successful ecosystem approaches to the management of
the
nation's coasts, oceans, and Great Lakes."
Lake Erie, the smallest by volume and shallowest of the Great Lakes,
has
historically experienced hypoxic, or low-oxygen conditions, often
referred to as a dead zone because of its devastating impact on
aquatic
life. After a period of decline in hypoxic events during the 1980s
and
early 1990s, hypoxia has once again become a critical issue in the
lower
Great Lakes, especially western Lake Erie.
NOAA's Center for Sponsored Coastal Ocean Research (CSCOR) is
committed
to developing predictive capabilities for coastal ecosystems, and
to
supporting the transition of science results to management tools.
This
project will advance ecological forecasting capabilities in support
of
regional ecosystem-based management and NOAA's ecosystem and
climate
goals, and is an example of the types of ecological forecasts that
can
be developed by top academic and NOAA scientists working in concert
with
coastal managers.
In fiscal year '06, CSCOR provided approximately $10 million in
competitive grants to institutions of higher education, state,
local,
and tribal governments, and other non-profit research institutions
to
assist NOAA in fulfilling its mission to study our coastal oceans.
NOAA-sponsored competitive research programs such as
Eco-Forecasting
Program demonstrate NOAA's commitment to its historic
responsibilities
of science and service to the nation for the past 35 years.
- 30 -
On the Web:
NOAA: http://www.noaa.gov
NOAA's National Ocean Service: http://oceanservice.noaa.gov/
National Centers for Coastal Ocean Science :
http://coastalscience.noaa.gov/
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--
____________________________________________________________
Don Scavia www.sitemaker.umich.edu/scavia
Professor, Natural Resources & Environ. www.snre.umich.edu
Director, Michigan Sea Grant www.miseagrant.umich.edu
Director, CILER www.ciler.snre.umich.edu
University of Michigan
440 Church St. Phone 734-615-4860
Ann Arbor, MI 48109-1041 Fax 734-763-8965
____________________________________________________________
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